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Locke
08-03-2010, 09:03 PM
This timeline is intended to be ASB, at best. Political leaders are also supposed to be vague.

This whole timeline wasn't intended to be taken seriously, more as a late-night popcorn thingy. So, enjoy! :cheers:

And please comment. ;)

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2014
OR
How the F$*!k Did this happen?

February- A BP exploration team discovers a vast, untapped oil and natural gas reserve in Central Asia, and centered in Turkmenistan.

March- BP begins developing the Central Asian oilfields in co-operation with the Turkmenistan government, just as a second major oil spill breaks out in the Gulf...also from a BP platform. Uzebkistan lays claim to the Balkan province of Turkmenistan, where most of the oil reserves are located.

April- The US seizes BP’s assets in its own territory, and Turkmenistan declares its own reserves off-limits. This sends shudders through the world economy, as the stock market falls.

May- The US expands its military presence in Turkmenistan by persuading the gov’t to lease several large bases entirely to the US.

July- A coup is launched against the Turkmenistan gov’t. Mass demonstrations against the gov’t, and against the US presence.

August- Civil war in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan erupts.

September- Iran invades Turkmenistan, Russia intervenes into Uzbekistan. Kazakhstan mobilizes. US moves to DEFCON 2.

October- Nuclear exchange occurs between Israel and Iran. Baghdad is also nuked. The Pakistani gov’t collapses as civil war erupts. US forces move to secure Pakistan’s nukes. Most are accounted for.

November- A nuke is detonated in Tehran. The Iranian gov’t collapses, with the military seizing power, and attacking US forces in Turkmenistan.

December- Shootouts erupt between Uzbek rebels and Russian forces, and US troops along the border. Iran nukes the Turkmenistani cities of Mary and Gyzylarbat, and launches an offensive for the Turkmenistan capitol of Ashgabat. The US front line collapses.



2015
OR
Shit Really Hits the Fan

January- Remaining US forces in Turkmenistan retreat into Afghanistan. The US turns Iranian armies in Turkmenistan to ash with nukes. The front calms down, as Central Asia slips into anarchy.

February- Russian troops march into Kazakhstan as the government collapses, and de facto annexes Belarus, and incorporates the remains of Uzbekistan in the Balakovo Conference. OPEC halts oil production, and initiates an embargo against the US. The President issues a nuclear warning...

March- Cuba holds free elections for the first time in decades. The president of Lithuania is assassinated. Russian troops march in. Insurgency begins. EU mobilizes. Border clashes and airstrikes occur along Polish border. The US moves to DEFCON 1.

April- Martial law established in PRC, country more or less transitions into a military junta. North Korea kicks off it's invasion of South korea by detonating a nuclear device in the upper atmosphere over the Korean Strait. It is unclear if Kim Jong-Il is still the leader of N.K at this time.

May- Iran invades Iraq. Their advance is halted by Iraqi troops without significant US support. Popular support prevents the US from lending significant help to the Iraqis. Russian invasion of Poland begins. The US begins dumping units into Europe as the Reserves and National Guard are mobilized. By now, 10,000 US servicemen are dead from the conflicts in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

August- An Iraqi counter-offensive pushes deep into Iran. Russia invades from the Caspian, moving for Tehran. The US begins evacuating from the Middle East completely. Israel begins an ethnic cleansing of Palestinians within its territory. Polish front line collapses. NATO and EU rush troops into Poland.

September- Heavy fighting on the outskirts of Warsaw. Russian attempt at encirclement fails. Tactical nuclear device is used against NATO positions on the outskirts. Several thousand NATO troops are killed.

October- New Russian push for Warsaw. NATO frontline begins to fallback, uses three tactical nukes on Russian spearheads. Russia responds with more tactical nukes, and so on. Supply depots near major cities on both sides are hit, then military bases, then major ports, then any large cities. Three hundred million people die in October.
Global economy and trade collapses.

November- Israel expels millions of Gazans from the city. 2 million Gazans are forced to leave. 1.5 million make it to safety behind Egyptian borders. Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt invade. Israel uses last remaining nukes. 10 million people die in the final Arab-Israeli War. US government hardliners seize power, order OPEC nations to be targeted. Two hundred nukes are launched, two hundred million people die, two hundred thousand people will die in the ensuing US civil war (Official soldier KIA statistics).

December- Opposition US government formed in Sacramento. Texas secedes from union.



2016
OR
At Least This Year Wasn't as Bad as the Last

March- The Plains Campaign begin with massive armored clashes across Midwest. Five southern states secede from Union.

August- US civil war culminates with the Opposition victory in Missouri and Minnesota, and New England victory in Pennsylvania. US right-wing hardliners defeated. Three more southern states secede, along with Oregon, Montana, Vermont, and Maine.

December- US secession crisis resolved, with all states rejoining union under new, confederal government with new Constitution- the American League, later to be the Commonwealth of American States. Law and order largely restored across the US, though disease, poverty, and famine will continue to wreak havoc for years to come. US population roughly 150 million. Russian population roughly 80 million. Russia still embroiled in civil war and anarchy, as is most of Eastern Europe. Central Asia and Middle East are burnt out cores. Africa engulfed in genocide and war. No oil coming from anywhere, except in the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea, and the Persian Gulf, where oil spews into the ocean from broken wells. Peaceful Chinese Revolution occurs, previous military dictatorship abolished at the cost of 2 million lives.

Locke
08-06-2010, 10:45 AM
No comments? Not even a "Wow, that's implausible."? Or a "What a sucky decade."?

Wolverine
08-06-2010, 12:00 PM
Wow, what a sucky decade :p:chuckle:

It's implausible but still interesting.

Please continue depressing us. :)

kaeim
08-10-2010, 03:01 PM
You're gonna hate me because of what I'm about to do to your decade prediction... :chuckle:

Try not to take offence

2014

Ok, firstly, BP in my opinion are unlikely to get another contract anywhere in America. Plus, there are loads of other oil companies out there already scouting across the whole world.

The US is never going to be able to claim any military bases in Turkmenistan because of its geographic location; near Russia. It'd be more likely that Russia would try and claim military bases; not America. Plus, America is definately not going to try and throw her boys into a potential military conflict in a election year.

Definately not enough detail about why it is Iran and Israel get into a nuclear war. Nor is there any detail about why Pakistan has a civil war.

My other real main issue with 2014 (which creeps into 2015) is why any country would turn down trading oil; one of the most profitable market areas any country can back. This counts for both Turkmenistan and Russia. In fact, why would Turkmenistan want to hoard its oil at all? What's it going to use it on? :confused:

2015

Why has Cuba suddenly held free elections and why is Russia annexing Lithuania when tensions are that high between Russia and the US?

So, Iran suddenly invades Iraq, even though its been heavily nuked beyond all comparisons??? With what, precisely? Mutants? And judging from the recent conflicts in Iraq/Afghanistan, you'll be lucky to see more than 2/3000 American soldiers dead, let alone 10,000.

Why is America withdrawing from the Middle East, considering that most of the world's oil comes from that region? Are they really going to throw away all that precious oil to the Russians?

After this point, there's not much point really continuing this timeline, seeing as every nation has nuked the hell out of each other. There's no point even using conventional land forcse anymore.

2016

Its amazing to realise that even after being nuked, America still has the time, inclination and resources to spend on creating thousands of tanks.

Diamond
08-11-2010, 12:15 AM
You're a little ray of sunshine, aren't you, Locke? :D

Das Legio
08-11-2010, 04:04 AM
Locke, all you need to do is have this decade be the decade when people look at Obama's WH clusterfuck and Micheal Steele's failure along with Detroit and Chicago's fall and make it the decade where Black guys in office are severely discredited. Could have avoided the whole thing to if only we drug Powell kicking and screaming to the presidency. Maybe by write in....

Other than that, have the DOOM QUAKE OF DEEEEEEEEEEEEATH!finally hit California, completely killing everything in San Fransisco. Hell, screw my original proposition and have this plus the craziest of Fundies start saying it was the Wrath of God pulling another S and G. Then have the rest of the Christians(This is kinda what would happen) have a massive falling out with the Fundies, to the point that it would be hard for even the most anti-Christianity/Religious person to draw true comparisons to the relationship between Radical Christianity and Normal Christianity and Rad. Islam and Norm. Islam.

That's all you need to do.

Also, Commonwealth!? Only in British dreams. The American League would be here to stay.

Locke
08-11-2010, 10:40 PM
I had just spent nearly an hour addressing all your points...and then, I pressed the "back" button on accident. :machinegun::machinegun::purge:

So, unfortunately, I'm going to have to give you the extremely short and sweet version.
2014

Ok, firstly, BP in my opinion are unlikely to get another contract anywhere in America. Plus, there are loads of other oil companies out there already scouting across the whole world.


Exactly, and BP is one of those companies. Also, BP still operates in America at this time so...?


The US is never going to be able to claim any military bases in Turkmenistan because of its geographic location; near Russia. It'd be more likely that Russia would try and claim military bases; not America. Plus, America is definately not going to try and throw her boys into a potential military conflict in a election year.

Turkmenistan had traditonally tried to balance US and Russia, but with increasing US pressure for economic reform, and the investment potential, Turkmenistan falls into the US camp.


Definately not enough detail about why it is Iran and Israel get into a nuclear war. Nor is there any detail about why Pakistan has a civil war.

Iran v Israel: traditional saber-rattling, plus worsening Israeli human rights abuses, and an attempted Israeli airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities, plus gov't instability in both Iran and Israel.

Pakistan: Really need a reason? :p Basically, bad economy+unstable gov't+various coups, revolts and unrest.


My other real main issue with 2014 (which creeps into 2015) is why any country would turn down trading oil; one of the most profitable market areas any country can back. This counts for both Turkmenistan and Russia. In fact, why would Turkmenistan want to hoard its oil at all? What's it going to use it on?

Nobody's hoarding. Uzbekistan wanted Turkmenistan lands with oil, Turkmenistan refused. Both sides wanted to make money on the oil.


2015

Why has Cuba suddenly held free elections

Because the Castro in charge (or whoever) doesn't want to deal with the issues anymore, and most people want to open up trade. Why wouldn't they?


and why is Russia annexing Lithuania when tensions are that high between Russia and the US?

To drive the point home to Europe that they're the biggest swingin' dick around. And they had already installed a pro-Russian gov't so it wasn't too hard.


So, Iran suddenly invades Iraq, even though its been heavily nuked beyond all comparisons??? With what, precisely? Mutants?
Rogue army elements. The civilian gov't had collapsed, so the whole control was under local martial law. Being inundated with refugees, a bunch of commanders decided to pay Iraq an '80s style visit. They were, as one would expect of half-starving, poorly supplied conscripts (many were refugees with some basic training) easily repulsed.


And judging from the recent conflicts in Iraq/Afghanistan, you'll be lucky to see more than 2/3000 American soldiers dead, let alone 10,000.

You probably missed the part where two Iranian nukes detonated on Turkmenistani cities. The dreaded acronym crippled the main US advantage, armor and air support as well, and, being flooded with refugees, heavily outnumbered, and with low morale, the US forces were routed. The best armies in the world have been defeated under better circumstances.


Why is America withdrawing from the Middle East, considering that most of the world's oil comes from that region? Are they really going to throw away all that precious oil to the Russians?

It's not withdrawing from the ME, just from Turkmenistan. Major uproar at home and in the gov't over the fact that many thousands of Americans have died, and the economy is going to shit (again). OPEC doesn't like the (still) US support for Israel or war against Iran, which leads to the embargo.


2016

Its amazing to realise that even after being nuked, America still has the time, inclination and resources to spend on creating thousands of tanks.
There are a lot of Army and Nat. Guard armored units stationed at home. No one was producing anything, the stuff was already there. :confused:

In all fairness though, tanks played a fairly minor role due to the fuel shortages. The main vehicles were much lighter armored cars (Humvees and recruited armored trucks) and civilian-based technicals. American technicals. :cool:

Vicktory
04-07-2011, 01:40 AM
Is it possible for events such as these to happen in such a compact time frame? None of it sounds terribly impluasable, except that the events are so rapid and sudden.
I like it though :D

Locke
04-11-2011, 08:52 PM
Is it possible for events such as these to happen in such a compact time frame? None of it sounds terribly impluasable, except that the events are so rapid and sudden.
I like it though :D

Probably not possible, though it wasn't written with pluasibility in mind. The whole point was to provide some cheap entertainment, perhaps an excuse to have just about every single FPS video game plot device thrown into one... (US Civil War, Middle Eastern crisis x 100, Rogue Russia, etc.)

I'm glad you like it though.